The potential acquisition of an aircraft carrier was an annual story for more than 20 years, and despite the lease of a Soviet nuclear-powered submarine almost two decades ago India's submarine force remains entirely conventional. The actual Chinese presence in Myanmar is minimal, despite continued rumors of bases and outposts in places such as Greater Coco Island, near the Andaman Islands.16 China has not yet demonstrated an expeditionary air force capability beyond its own shores and, even more important, China and India have reasonably good relations today, even going as far as to hold joint naval maneuvers.17 History has shown how growing rival powers can slide into military conflict, however, and given some bitter occurences in the past (including Chinese support of Pakistan), it is reasonable to wonder what the future might bring.